BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Arlington Starmont

Class: 2A Class Rank: 24 Conference: (5-2) Overall: (6-3) Overall Strength =   78.79

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 09/06/2002 Away    W    76.39  21    8    A   25 ( 6- 4) East Buchanan          -6.50     19.50                      
  2 09/13/2002 Home    L    75.67   8   26   3A   21 ( 4- 5) Marion                 -7.22    -10.78                      
  3 09/20/2002 Home    W *  91.95  55    0   2A   70 ( 2- 7) Guttenberg CR           9.06 *   45.94                      
  4 09/27/2002 Away    W * 102.54  54    0   2A   64 ( 2- 7) Monona MFL-MarMac      19.65 *   34.35                      
  5 10/04/2002 Home    W *  75.10  20    7   2A   51 ( 3- 6) Hudson                 -7.79     20.79                      
  6 10/11/2002 Home    W *  98.94  28    7   2A   22 ( 6- 3) Dyersville Beckman     16.05      4.95                      
  7 10/18/2002 Away    L *  61.37  16   34   2A   27 ( 6- 3) Jesup                 -21.52      3.52                      
  8 10/25/2002 Away    L *  77.15  16   35   2A    6 (10- 2) North Fayette          -5.74    -13.26                      
  9 11/01/2002 Home    W *  86.91  40   13   2A   58 ( 2- 7) South Winneshiek        4.02     22.98                      
      Averages              82.89  28.7 14.4

Best game:  102.54 = 54 point win over Monona MFL-MarMac
Worst game:  61.37 = 18 point loss to Jesup
Team stdev:  13.20